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Cake day: June 16th, 2025

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  • This has always been my problem with the future of self-driving cars too, and of course several people have argued with me that I’m stupid.

    I don’t trust any corporations now and I don’t trust that the government will always be benevolent - if you’re in the US, it already isn’t, at least mine is still fairly sensible, but that could change easily too.

    One of the biggest problems is that self-driving cars either are, or one day will be safer than human drivers. Which of course is a great thing! But then there will be a push to ban manual driving. First we’ll get I, robot, where manual driving is frowned upon. It’ll happen step by step.

    Also: a fast means of transport for me and my family that doesn’t stop working when comms go down and isn’t restricted to a specific route, is what keeps me feeling much safer living <200 km from the Russian border. Buses or trains need to wait till they get enough people on to fill them, otherwise it’s inefficient. Self-driving cars likely won’t go anywhere. Bicycles and feet are great for day to day life in a livable city, but they don’t let me cross 4 national borders in 16 hours.



  • Yes social security in the U.S is a specific tax that only goes to social security.

    Well, it seems that the US has one of the best systems for retirement in the world then.

    It’s silly to blame older generations that had it better for the decline.

    The total net worth of all billionaires in the US is actually a bit less than the total value of all 401ks alone, ignoring other forms of retirement and savings funds. When things are done “for the shareholders”, what makes you think that it’s only the billionaires? Retirement by definition benefits from the next generations being held down by low wages to benefit the corporations you’re invested in. Boomers, or at least the selfish ones, have a tendency to vote republican because their interests align with billionaires’ interests.

    But both the net worth of billionaires and total value of 401ks pale in comparison to the total net worth of baby boomers in total.

    In comparison, all billionaires put together are under 10 trillion, though they might be slightly over that number now since the last year or two have been WILD for economic growth. But then the boomer number is also ~85 trillion as of April this year and probably over 90 now since the S&P 500 has gone up plenty.

    In a few decades it’ll be Gen X and then millennials. As a millennial I hope my generation doesn’t take the same hard right turn once we’re in charge of the economy, but that’s like 30-40 years from now and who knows how jaded millennials will have become by then. Luckily we won’t get as many decades in charge as the boomers have had.

    Don’t get me wrong, we should still delete all billionaires, but I’m just saying that this doesn’t fix the whole issue of retirement being old people living off young people’s work. It’ll actually do fairly little because the scale is actually so much bigger.

    Wealth Distribution By Age
    
    Across all asset categories, older Americans overwhelmingly hold the greatest share of wealth:
    
        Total wealth: $167.26 trillion
        Under age 40: $11.18 trillion, 6.7% of total wealth
        Age 40-54: $33.40 trillion, 20.0% of total wealth
        Age 55-69: $69.60 trillion, 41.6% of total wealth
        Age 70+: $53.08 Trillion, 31.7% of total wealth
    
    Wealth Distribution By Generation
    
    When broken down by generation, Baby Boomers by far hold the largest share:
    
        Total wealth: $167.26 Trillion
        Millennials and Gen Z (born 1981 or later): $17.97 trillion, 10.7% of total wealth
        Generation X (born 1965-1980): $43.70 trillion, 26.1% of total wealth
        Baby Boomers (born 1946-1964): $85.41 trillion, 51.1% of total wealth
        Silent and Earlier (born before 1946): $20.18 trillion, 12.1% of total wealth
    



  • Kinda hard to have anything private here without end to end encryption. You COULD use GPG in PMs, but then people have been encrypting their email for decades too.

    And with email you don’t generally have to keep up with instance politics to know where to sign up to be able to email the people you want to email. So I’d still say email is simpler to use. Maybe not simpler underneath on a technical level, but that doesn’t matter to the end user.


  • Does social security really only come from their own payments? The US must be one of the few countries that does it like that then. Usually, current workers finance current retirees, rather than current workers financing future retirees (themselves). There’s an element of “has paid into it”, yes, but it’s quite obviously not the same money sitting in a bank account somewhere. It comes from a future national budget.

    Doesn’t matter either way. Much like I don’t expect to retire because there won’t be enough taxpayers 40 years from now in my country, I doubt the US dollar will be worth enough for current young workers to retire on social security without major interest being earned on it. There won’t be enough actual productivity in the economy to support its value.

    401k and other similar funds that invest in the stock market are also how old people profit off young people’s work. You know all those comments you see blaming BlackRock or Vanguard for everything wrong with the US economy? Well BlackRock and Vanguard manage all these funds, but they don’t actually own it all, mostly retail investors and different retirement accounts do. You could behead all the billionaires and it’ll improve things, but that’s mostly just idle wealth on paper since there’s like a thousand of them, versus millions of retirees constantly consuming things using money that earned interest by being invested in the economy (i.e profiting off younger people, as that’s just how capitalism works)

    Capitalism or communism doesn’t matter in the medium term either, the only way a person can retire is to start living off the backs of others. It’s not an issue when a society is growing, but once it plateaus and eventually starts shrinking, it’s a problem. This could be changed once human labor is no longer necessary to provide everyone’s needs, assuming capitalists don’t get to keep ownership of everything.

    Look at the US population pyramid in 1970

    vs 1990

    vs 2025

    Ain’t no gen z going to be retiring at this rate. Or they’ll be the last generation to be able to do so without a major rework of society.

    So yes, people are rightfully jealous that they have to pay upkeep on retirees when they themselves will likely never get to retire.





  • Japanese cars, hybrids aside, aren’t efficient. They’re more efficient than American trucks of course, but they achieve low fuel consumption only through their small size.

    I’m not kidding when I tell you that I achieved the same highway fuel consumption on my mate’s 2005 Mazda 3 1.6, 5 speed manual, as I did on my 1999 Chrysler 300M 3.5, 4 speed auto. The Chrysler had just over twice the power and it was a bigger car. And older. AND it was an old slushbox auto. The important considerations: Despite all the extra length, width and engine size, the weight difference somehow was only about 300 KG. And the big engine had a wide enough torque curve that they could allow for really tall gear ratios, it sat at about 1500-1600 rpm cruising at 90 km/h in 4th gear. The Mazda I believe was nearly 2500 rpm at 90 km/h in 5th, but I could be remembering that wrong.

    Around town the Chrysler lost more of its fuel economy than the Mazda of course, but then it was a huge ass car with a huge engine - the difference was still nowhere near what one would expect it to be. And of course with a 3.5 exactly when the gas prices were at their lowest in ~2015-2016, well, I accelerated away from every light with a grin on my face so that probably makes up for much of the city fuel economy difference (which I honestly don’t remember the numbers for - it varies by traffic density anyway and I didn’t drive the Mazda in cities much, it wasn’t mine).

    I then drove a ~2005 BMW 5 series diesel (E60 530d). Completely blew both of those out of the water with fuel economy. Think I got 4l/100km on the highway when the other two were 6-6.5.

    You are right, though. Efficient cars are buildable today, there’s just close to no reason to do it in the US where gas is essentially free compared to, say, the EU. It’s the same reason people in Gulf states love driving their Nissan Patrols (Nissan Armada in Yank terms). The fuel’s so cheap, fuel economy doesn’t matter.

    The brutally honest truth is that people are just willing to pay more for bigger cars and not just a little bit more, but more than the manufacturing cost increases with size. Make a car bigger, it gets 20% more expensive to produce but people will pay 50% more for it. It’s a no-brainer.

    You can still buy cars that get <=4 l/100km on the highway, even with modern emissions requirements messing shit up for you (DPF regen cycles cause diesels to use more fuel for example).


  • There are several different problems here and banning Chinese cars is possibly the worst solution. And with Trump and magats in charge, a better solution is off the table anyway.

    Problem 1: American automakers don’t make anything good and it’s all expensive.

    Problem 2: Americans need jobs, everyone buying their (second) most expensive belonging from abroad transfers manufacturing jobs abroad.

    Problem 3: EV transition in the US isn’t going as strong as it should be.

    Problem 4: China has EV subsidies for cars sold to other countries. This allows for dumping stock at below cost prices, after already having super low production costs (among other things China is the world’s battery manufacturer, Chinese EVs get batteries for much cheaper; also Chinese labor costs are at most a quarter of union labor in the US). Usually EV subsidies, if they exist, are on purchasing, not production.

    The solution, to me, isn’t banning Chinese EVs. It’s a further increase of tariffs on cars made in China and then that tariff money should be used to fund an EV purchase subsidy so that all EVs get cheaper for the end user to buy (yes, said subsidies would also apply to Chinese EVs). Now if BYD or whoever wants to sell a ton of cars in the US, they have to manufacture in the US, which means they have similar costs to other manufacturers (minus the batteries of course, nothing to do about that without causing a ton of issues. You can’t just increase tariffs on Chinese batteries because non-Chinese manufacturers need them too).

    My proposed solution would directly affect #2 and #4 in a positive manner, be better for #3 than outright banning Chinese EVs, but not as good as simply allowing them to dump nearly-free cars on Americans (which would of course increase in price once the competition is dead) and forces the American automakers themselves to sort out #1 because right now much of their competition is the German big 3 and Toyota, all of which are expensive too (shit, I consider Toyota more expensive than the Germans because I look at used cars, I love depreciation)

    But what do I know, I’m not American and don’t know shit about economics and trade wars and don’t even own an EV.