• qjkxbmwvz@startrek.website
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    2 days ago

    This gets posted regularly on Lemmy, and while the economic take is tone-deaf at best, there’s a real issue with generating more power than you can use. You can’t just dump grid power — it needs to go somewhere. The grid needs to consume as much as it generates at all times or else bad things happen.

    There are of course solutions, but that doesn’t mean it’s not an engineering challenge to implement.

    Figuring out what to do with kilowatts is easy, but figuring out what to do with megawatts, at the drop of a hat, is substantially harder.

    • arrow74@lemmy.zip
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      12 hours ago

      I feel like a 4g cellphone plan and a shutoff switch would do the trick. You can control what is being generated in real time

      • qjkxbmwvz@startrek.website
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        21 hours ago

        Oh they absolutely do! My only point is that grid supply must equal grid demand. There are many ways to achieve this, as folks here have pointed out.

        Throttling power generation (turning off/disconnecting PV from grid for example), and storage (chemical, heat, or hydro battery) are all established technologies, they just need to be implemented properly to avoid supply/demand mismatch.

    • pticrix@lemmy.ca
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      2 days ago

      Peak energy production would be a good time to train the damn llms instead of building natural gas power plant I guess.

      • SeptugenarianSenate@leminal.space
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        2 days ago

        Sorry, but Johnny Oil with a shotgun to my head disagrees with your math. and while I never looked at the numbers myself, I am inclined to agree with him that such a plan would be disturbingly “unprofitable”.

        -anyone around western spheres of influence in the vicinity of any sort of lever of power to authorize such changes in infrastructure investment

      • 8oow3291d@feddit.dk
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        2 days ago

        Given the price of RAM and graphics cards, it is obvious that running LLM is at least somewhat limited by the amount of hardware available. So having that hardware sitting idle, except when there is too much solar power, is obviously not economically viable.

        • gandalf_der_12te@discuss.tchncs.de
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          12 hours ago

          obviously

          citation needed

          I’m saying this because a lot of things seem obvious at first glance, but are still incorrent. Sometimes reality behaves in unexpected ways and one actually has to check some stuff regularly instead of just assuming it.

          Like, which scenario is more profitable? Use 100 chips and run them at all times, even when energy prices are high; or buy 200 chips and use them only when energy is cheap? Which scenario is cheaper? One actually has to do the maths, otherwise one cannot just know these things.

        • pivot_root@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          Power and grid infrastructure is a limitation that can exceed hardware availability in some regions. Musk has a datacenter with 20-something methane gas generators running throughout the day to power his mini-me sycophantic AI, Grok.

          At the cost of a cultural deficit, solar could provide an environmental benefit there during the day.

        • then_three_more@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          Then you use taxation to change the viability. Make the non renewable energy so expensive for that usage that they’re better just to shutdown.

        • pticrix@lemmy.ca
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          2 days ago

          Gotta admit, didn’t think about that. Maybe the solution was a few guillotines all along. (This solution has its own problem tho, see the Robespierre gambit)

      • youcantreadthis@quokk.au
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        2 days ago

        Yes but that would be woke soy and gay. You dont want to get gay woke soy in your ai. Thats against like the entire point of the thing!

    • Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      22 hours ago

      Solar panels don’t care if the energy they could produce isn’t consumed.

      Wind generators can be feathered and breaked until they stop rotating and generating.

      Hydro-generation dams can simply close their water intakes and stop generating.

      The things that have problems stopping generation are not renewables, they’re things like nuclear power plants.

      Negative energy prices are not a technical problem - if the decision to do so is made, renewable generation systems can quickly stop producing.

      Negative energy prices are due to Market systems being used to decide who stops generating if supply exceeds demand - instead of some centralized entity deciding who will stop, the individual suppliers look at the market price for their product and decide themselves to stop/start producing or not.

      Because electric power supply/demand balance changes way faster than said market signals are produced and processed ultimatelly to decisions to stop or start generation, you end up with prices overshooting and undershooting the ideal price point which is in equilibrium with the supply/demand balance, and sometimes the undershooting results in negative prices.

      So negative energy prices are the result of the political choice of using market systems rather than some kind of centralized control - a system with centralized control would respond far faster to falls in demand and would thus not generate more power than demand to the point that somebody is actually paid to consume power.

      So yeah, the idea that it’s solar panels that are the problem by causing negative energy prices is complete total bullshit - the choice of a market system to regulate supply and demand is the source of the problem and solar, because it has very low operational costs and thus the price solar operators are willing to sell their product for is lower, just means that when the market at times naturally undershots (because it’s SLOW at responding to changes in supply/demand) it will do so against an equilibrium price which is lower because solar is cheaper, and will thus more frequently end up going below zero price and into negative territory before bouncing back and stabilizing at the price which is in equilibrium with the current supply/demand balance.

    • oyo@lemmy.zip
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      1 day ago

      No. No no no. You can literally turn solar generation off, nearly instantly. It’s called curtailment and it’s done all the time in saturated markets. Older residential inverters don’t have the reactive technology, but residential solar is a drop in the bucket compared to utility-scale solar.

    • nomad@infosec.pub
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      1 day ago

      The economics of that are great. Negative power prices are an incentive to store energy and get payed for that. Then release the energy again later in the day or at night to earn money on it again.

      • gandalf_der_12te@discuss.tchncs.de
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        12 hours ago

        Then release the energy again later in the day or at night to earn money on it again.

        This process is called “arbitrage” btw. Take one thing when it’s cheap and sell it some other time/place where it’s valued at a higher cost, and make a profit that way. It’s one of the foundations of trade in general.

      • Deme@sopuli.xyz
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        1 day ago

        Yes, and plenty of companies are doing just that. The effect is that as they charge the batteries, they increase demand and that increases the electricity price a bit. Grid doesn’t tip over and everybody wins!

        Trouble is that at some point they run out of batteries. Batteries are expensive. And when they run out of batteries, the demand drops and the grid has to figure out where to dump the excess. And the price drops again.

        Pumped hydro is a more scalable solution, but it’s slow to react and even that has its limits.

        • nomad@infosec.pub
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          1 day ago

          What you are saying is factually correct, why the down votes I don’t understand.

          Load dumping is not really a big problem as any fail over solutions have some dumping capacity. Just let it heat a big ass resistor somewhere.

          • gandalf_der_12te@discuss.tchncs.de
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            12 hours ago

            What you are saying is factually correct, why the down votes I don’t understand.

            Lots of people are offended by people speaking in un-convoluted, direct ways. I’ve made that experience many times.

    • Track_Shovel@slrpnk.netOPM
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      2 days ago

      Solar panels need an aperture.

      Again, though, using gravity batteries or pumped hydro is a great way to manage excess juice, though these are expensive options.

      • anomnom@sh.itjust.works
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        1 day ago

        They still cost much less than evacuating the entire coast line of the world when we finish melting the Greenland and Antarctic land ice.

        • SparroHawc@lemmy.zip
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          14 hours ago

          There’s been significant advances in super-cheap batteries that have lower power density, but excellent resilience, utilizing common materials. Those are ideal for solar storage where space isn’t an issue.

        • shweddy@lemmy.world
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          22 hours ago

          Something tells me they can “economy of scale” those bitches and make making massive battery bank warehouses cheap

          • sparkyshocks@lemmy.zip
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            17 hours ago

            Grid scale storage is actively being worked on.

            Chemical batteries, like rechargeable lithium ion batteries, are a big part of it. Sodium ion batteries and iron air batteries are coming up, as well.

            Somewhat related are rechargeable fuel cells and flow batteries, that similarly store chemical energy that can support two-way charge/discharge cycles.

            Gravity storage, like pumping water up into a reservoir and then using it to drive turbines on the way down, or elaborate elevator shaft type systems, can store some energy but require lots of land and material, or require very specific geographic features not commonly found.

            Kinetic energy storage, turning lots of heavy flywheels and then recapturing that momentum to produce electricity when needed, is also on the grid (and kinda mimics the rotational inertia of the turbines traditionally synced across the grid).

            Some other storage technologies include capacitors, pressurized gas containers, and thermal heat storage with molten salt that can be used to make steam to drive turbines on demand.

            But all of these solutions are difficult to scale up to the point where they make a significant difference in addressing the mismatch between supply and demand at different times of day. We gotta do all of it, and right now the most cost effective solution is chemical batteries, so that’s been growing at an exponential rate.

          • 8oow3291d@feddit.dk
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            20 hours ago

            Like, there is a huge focus on inventing and implementing exactly this. I have seen many technical science/engineering articles about the different approaches to make it work. Because it would be amazingly useful. But the solution has generally not been found yet.

            Reality bites. Some stuff is just not possible to make economically. You can’t just say “economics of scale” like it is a magic incantation.

          • 8oow3291d@feddit.dk
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            20 hours ago

            There has to be some solution in use today, since I as a consumer don’t have recurring blackouts. I don’t know what they are, but they are likely not chemical batteries, and they are likely cheaper than batteries.

    • MinnesotaGoddam@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      You can’t just dump grid power — it needs to go somewhere. The grid needs to consume as much as it generates at all times or else bad things happen.

      we figured out this problem centuries ago it is called capacitors. long term it is called batteries

      • ayyy@sh.itjust.works
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        2 days ago

        Neither of which grow on trees.

        Edit: well I guess lemons grow on trees and those are batteries if you try hard enough…

      • starman2112@sh.itjust.works
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        2 days ago

        The problem we have to solve is that the energy storage that’s built into the grid was built before widespread home solar adoption. We need new energy dumps, and those cost money. Of course the obvious answer is taxes, but good luck convincing Americans to pay for vital infrastructure

        • MinnesotaGoddam@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          shit like this burns power fast if you need to clear capacity. just ground it. i’m not that smart of an engineer and this is not that hard of a problem. the hard part is the grid, the interconnectedness, the load balancing, and that’s already done.

    • bountygiver [any]@lemmy.ml
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      2 days ago

      The extra power issue is not that hard to solve, when you get close you can start mandating the inverters to have smart connection to the grid, so they stop providing power to the grid if demand is satisfied.

    • ChonkyOwlbear@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Maybe I don’t know enough about electricity at large scale, but at small scale you can just cut the circuit. Electricity isn’t like water that just sits in the pipe when you close a valve, right?

      • WolfLink@sh.itjust.works
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        2 days ago

        It is a lot more like water than you think. The solution of “just cut the circuit” is like solving the problem of overflowing storm drains by “just plug the pipe”.

        The power has to go somewhere. If you don’t do anything about it, the voltage in the cables will rise until things start to fry. Real world power balancing involves adjusting the output of power plants (e.g. how much fuel to burn) in response to changes, and in some cases, dumping power into the ground as safely as possible. This problem gets complicated when power grids span vast distances and involve many different power plants that all need to be in sync or things catch on fire.

        In the case of solar power, this is part of why improved large-scale battery technology is so important. It lets you absorb the excess power at peak generation times, and then release that power at night.

        • 8oow3291d@feddit.dk
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          2 days ago

          Can’t you cut the power at each individual solar panel? I assume that the amount of electricity out there is low enough to not cause that kind of problems?

          • Zetta@mander.xyz
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            2 days ago

            You’re pretty much describing what hybrid inverters do for home solar panels. They can disconnect and not export to the grid when you don’t need it and just power your house and charge your batteries.

            But hybrid inverters are quite a bit more expensive than standard grid-tied inverters that are always pumping into the grid.

            For instance, I just had to replace my home inverter that died and I got a cheap 6 kilowatt inverter for about $1,300. A hybrid inverter would be at minimum 3 or 4k.

            • Scubus@sh.itjust.works
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              2 days ago

              Im not that guy, but im picturing moreso just that solar panels come preinstalled with the glass that turns opaque when it recieves voltage. When your batteries are full and the grid isnt pulling power, that would progressively look more and more like either a short citcuit or, more likely, an open circuit. When the voltage rises too much due to na open circuit, the solar panel shuts off by turning the glass opaque, which also adds a load to the battery hopefully trickling its voltage down.

              • Zetta@mander.xyz
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                2 days ago

                Again, that would increase cost significantly. I didn’t think of this at first because my array doesn’t have RSD because it’s older but all new solar arrays in the US and elsewhere have what’s called rapid shutdown technology for firefighter safety and it is a device that is mounted to each solar panel and does effectively reduce the output to zero or near zero on each solar panel in the event grid power is lost or somebody hits the rapid shutdown emergency button. So the technology is already in place to do what you’re describing but more cost-effective and less elaborate.

                Also, something I should have mentioned is that newer inverters like my own, even though they are grid-tied, can be configured to export nothing and only power the home even without a battery. But the problem with this whole line of thinking is that it would screw over homeowners who should be getting money for the solar they put into the grid, but would be getting nothing in these scenarios.

    • gens@programming.dev
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      2 days ago

      You can dump megawatts. But there is no need for that. It’s not like solar panel inverters will just keep increasing voltage until they can push the power into the grid. They have an upper limit.

      Basically I don’t see your point

    • HobbitFoot @thelemmy.club
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      2 days ago

      Short term is grounding the power. Medium teen is building up storage or electricity intensive industries that can start up and shut down based on electricity swings.

    • grue@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Figuring out what to do with kilowatts is easy

      So what you’re saying is that if it’s distributed enough (say, on the roofs of houses, sized to serve the needs of the occupants) it’s not a problem.

      • MajorasMaskForever@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        Distributed vs centralized has no impact here. It’s all about excess power across the entire grid.

        Sure, the solar system I own generates a few kilowatts and if I’m home cooking or running AC, I use almost all of it. But if I’m not home, my AC is off, fridge isn’t running at that moment, all of that power gets dumped onto the grid. My neighbor’s down the street do the same thing, their next door neighbor, the houses all in my neighborhood, and across the entire city, we’re all doing this. A hundred or thousand homes generating excess few kilowatts adds up to megawatts

        Sure, the energy company pays a pittance for the energy I put onto the grid, but it’s still payment. I’m not gonna put a dummy load on my house to not export power

        • grue@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          But if I’m not home, my AC is off, fridge isn’t running at that moment, all of that power gets dumped onto the grid.

          And if it couldn’t do that, your solar panels would warm up a little bit and nothing else of consequence would happen. Ditto for your neighbors’ solar panels, and everybody else’s. Whoop-de-do.

          It wouldn’t even cause a net increase in the urban heat island effect, because if that energy weren’t hitting solar panels it would just be heating up people’s roofs instead.

          Sure, the energy company pays a pittance for the energy I put onto the grid, but it’s still payment. I’m not gonna put a dummy load on my house to not export power

          You’re conflating an technological problem with an economic one. The only reason you claim my proposal wouldn’t work is because you don’t want it to because it cuts into your profit.

    • youcantreadthis@quokk.au
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      2 days ago

      You can cover them with a sheet You can pump water. You can do desalination. You can overcool houses during summer so the house is pleasantly chilly when you get home. Plenty of industrial processes already set the machines in-phase. You can do cool displays arcing it through the fucking air.

      Youre inventing problems so your stonks stay valuable.

    • mojofrododojo@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      this is not the intractable problem you make it out to be.

      there’s a fantastic way to smooth out production peaks, and hey, it fixes the lulls - it’s called storage. battery storage can take all kinds of forms, from pumped hydro to large stationary chemical batteries. we’re finally starting to see large rollouts of storage and it’s one of the few bits of light in a dark future.

      • Tinidril@midwest.social
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        1 day ago

        It doesn’t even have to be stored in a way that can be turned back into electricity. Electrical heaters are damn near 100% efficient except for transmission losses, and there are tons of industrial processes that can store and use that heat.

    • ShinkanTrain@lemmy.ml
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      2 days ago

      Oh no, I have too many megawatts, and somehow no batteries, turbines or any other shit, what could I possibly send it to

      The humble ground:

      • qjkxbmwvz@startrek.website
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        2 days ago

        That is not how it works.

        When you short something to ground, it’s everything in between that needs to dissipate the heat. Think about what “sending it to ground” means—it means you connect the hot to the ground. But with what do you connect the two? A wire? Sure, but you better hope that wire can dissipate all that power, because that’s what it’ll try to do.

        You can’t just “dump power on the ground.” That’s not how it works.

        • Qwel@sopuli.xyz
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          1 day ago

          So, I’m not good at these things, what you’re saying is that if I take a 240V cable in the street and just shove it into the ground, the cable will end up uh… melting? Trying to saturate itself until it matches the resistance of the ground or something?

          • qjkxbmwvz@startrek.website
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            1 day ago

            If it’s a low resistance path to ground, it’ll get very very toasty! If it’s a lousy ground though, then it won’t…but it also won’t consume any power, so it’s not an effective way of scrubbing off electricity.

            A good ground (low resistance) is found in your household wiring (the ground and/or the neutral). Of you short to that…well…you can guess what will happen! (Let’s hope you have proper circuit breakers.)